S&P 500 recovered from weak Thursday close, and there were subtle clues (shared with clients) as to why interest rate sensitive plays (beyond Russell 2000) would do better than largecaps Friday – the whole week slated to be a strong one. Little wonder – rates were not protesting, and confidence in soft landing growing. All
FX
AUD/USD experienced a slight drop, adjusting to 0.67466 on Wednesday. The persistent hawkish views of the RBA keep backing the Aussie versus its peers. Dovish bets on the Fed weaken the USD. On Wednesday, the AUD/USD is seeing a slight decline as traders digest the nearly 2% rally from the last sessions. The discourse on
AUD/USD shows an increase, climbing to 0.6950. RBA’s Bullock was on the wires and maintained its hawkish stance. A weaker USD also benefited the Aussie. The AUD/USD pair experienced an increase of 0.40% during Friday’s session, settling near 0.6950. Mixed sentiment data from the United States combined with the words of Reserve Bank of Australia’s
NZD/USD rises further, bullish momentum accelerates. RSI remains in positive territory, MACD shows rising bullish momentum. The 0.6100 zone (200-day SMA) resistance is in focus, break above could extend gains. In Tuesday’s session, the NZD/USD pair rose by 0.92% to 0.6090, continuing the bullish trend seen in recent sessions. The technical indicators suggest that the
In the year-to-date USD/JPY has traded in a mighty range that has stretched almost from 140 to 162. By contrast EUR/USD has been stuck between 1.06 and 1.10, Rabobank’s FX analyst Jane Foley notes. Potential risks for a break higher coming from a softer USD “The lack of strong direction in EUR/USD is despite a
Gold dips to $2,364, a six-day low, then recovers above $2,400. Market turmoil stems from weak US data, anticipates 50 bps Fed cut in September. US Dollar Index falls 0.50% to 102.70; 10-year Treasury yield to 3.783%. Rising Middle East tensions buoy Gold; US base in Iraq hit by missiles. Gold price dropped over 1%
Mexican Peso depreciates over 1% after printing solid gains. Mexico’s economic data shows unchanged business confidence and contraction in manufacturing activity. Fed hints at possible rate cut in September, driving traders to the safety of the USD. The Mexican Peso erases earlier gains and tanks against the US Dollar, extending its weekly losses after the
Gold price bounces from daily lows of $2,356, now at $2,385. Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows mixed results, edging closer to the 2% target. US Treasury yields slump as bonds rally, signaling potential for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. Gold price makes a U-turn after diving to two-week lows of $2,353 edges higher some
The Dow Jones shed over 500 points in the midweek market session. Investors balked after US PMIs came in firmly mixed and key earnings missed. US Manufacturing set to slow further, but Services PMIs expanded. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell over 500 points on Wednesday after US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures came
NZD/USD trudges below the 0.6070 level, marking its worst week since January. The pair closed at 0.6010, indicating a weekly loss of approximately 1.80%. NZD/USD remains under the key SMA of 20, 100, and 200 days, pointing to a sustained bearish bias. In Friday’s session, the NZD/USD sustained its downward momentum, dropping by 0.65% to
Mexican Peso strengthens by 0.35% as traders fully price in the Fed rate cut for September. Banxico’s dovish comments and Fed Chair Powell’s balanced mandate remarks influence market sentiment. US Dollar Index (DXY) rises slightly to 104.18; US Retail Sales data meet expectations. The Mexican Peso recovered and registered gains of more than 0.35% against
US Dollar continues losing ground in light of weak CPI figures and UoM data. Markets still foresee a September rate cut. Despite hot PPI data, US Treasury yields are falling, diminishing allure of USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains weak on Friday, sitting at April lows. This is largely a response to the soft
Dow Jones found early highs before settling back into the low end. New trading week kicks things off with a breather after Friday’s NFP. US consumer and wholesale inflation figures are due this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) whipped on Monday, briefly testing fresh highs and breaking out of Friday’s tight churn before
Gold prices edge up 0.15% amid thin trading on US Independence Day. XAU/USD reached a two-week high of $2,365 Wednesday, driven by weak US jobs data and heightened Fed rate cut expectations. Traders shift focus to Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report, following the US holiday closure. Gold prices registers minimal gains on Thursday amid thin liquidity
S&P 500 ran well into the data release, surged only to reverse in a four-hours selling streak. Some sectoral culprit? No, long-dated bonds did it – TLT daily slide did it. Was it fundamentally justified? Usually, you would see USD go up in tandem, but that didn‘t happen. The selling looks to me to be
Australian Dollar is a top performer from the session, favored by hot CPI figures from May. Following May’s hot CPI figures, the market closely watches further inflation indications for potential RBA action. If the RBA holds hawkish, the downside for the Aussie is limited. Wednesday’s session observed an incline in the Australian Dollar (AUD), as
Gold reverses gains after hitting daily high of $2,368, down more than 1.70%. Strong US S&P Global PMI data boosts the US Dollar, with the DXY rising 0.14% to 105.80. Mixed US economic data keeps Fed rate cut speculation alive. Gold prices reversed course on Friday, moving down more than 1.70%. Economic data from the
USD/JPY reaches daily high above 158.00, trading above key moving averages. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, with resistance at 158.25 and 158.44. Key support levels include 157.00, Senkou Span A at 156.16, and Kijun-Sen at 155.93. The USD/JPY edges higher for the fourth straight day and registers modest gains of 0.08% after hitting a daily
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