Technical Analysis

Fundamental Overview The USD finally got a bit of a boost after the FOMC decision despite the central bank maintaining the status quo. In fact, the Fed kept rates steady, reduced the QT pace, revised growth lower and inflation higher, and kept the dot plot mostly unchanged. Fed Chair Powell acknowledged the current uncertainty around

Fundamental Overview Gold dropped yesterday following the weak US consumer confidence report. The main culprit for the weakness in gold was the selloff in the US stock market as it tightens financial conditions when it’s aggressive. The problem here is that we got weaker economic data with increasing inflation expectations. The market might be fearing

The AUDUSD moved higher yesterday as the USD weakened, bringing the pair within 5 pips of the 38.2% retracement level from the September 2024 high. Just above that, the falling 100-day moving average (MA) also acted as resistance. Sellers leaned into these levels, leading to a technical rotation lower. As the session progressed, US equity

Fundamental Overview Gold came under pressure last Friday following the weak US Retail Sales data. That reaction seemed wrong-footed given that it should actually support gold due to falling real yields. Moreover, Retail Sales are volatile so one negative month doesn’t change anything. Sure enough, the market eventually started to erase the losses with the

Fundamental Overview Yesterday, the US PPI report came in higher than expected but the focus was on the details that feed into the Core PCE index, which is what the Fed focuses on. Those details were all very soft and helped to bring the early estimates down to more benign levels. In fact, the Core

Fundamental Overview Gold jumped to yet another all-time high today following renewed tariffs fears. In fact, over the weekend, Trump talked about imposing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminium on all countries on Monday and that he will announce reciprocal tariffs on Tuesday or Wednesday. This is giving gold a boost not only from

Fundamental Overview Gold continued to print new all-time highs day after day this week as the fall in real yields and later the US dollar gave the precious metal a tailwind to push into new highs. The most recent rise though has been quite parabolic and that’s often followed by a deeper pullback. We have

The USDCHF experienced a sharp decline on Monday, driven by a stock market tumble led by Nvidia and broad USD selling. The pair on Monday, found support at 0.8965, the 50% retracement level of the December 2024 rally, and rebounded sharply off of that key support hold. Midweek trading was volatile, with the price fluctuating

TradeCompass: Nasdaq Price Prediction and Futures Analysis for Today (January 29, 2025) At the time of this Nasdaq futures analysis, NQ is trading at 21,559. Below is the detailed breakdown of today’s bullish and bearish scenarios for Nasdaq futures, aligned with the TradeCompass methodology. Bearish Scenario for Nasdaq Futures Today We turn bearish if the

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

TradeCompass for Euro FX Futures (Ticker: 6E) – January 21, 2025 Current Overview:Euro FX Futures (6E) are trading at 1.0406, slightly below today’s VWAP (1.0412). This places the market in bearish territory based on the TradeCompass. Traders should monitor the outlined key levels for potential breakout or continuation trades. Key Levels to Watch for Euro

THe USDCHF felll sharply after yesterday’s US CPI and in the process fell below its 200 hour moving average (green line on the chart below currently at 0.9119). However, the momentum could not be sustained, and a snapback rally ensued with the price moving back to and through the 200-hour moving average and up to

TradeCompass: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures Analysis – 13 January 2025 Financial Instrument: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures (NQ Futures) Price at the Time of Analysis: 20885 Key Levels and Trade Scenarios for Nasdaq 100 Futures Today Bullish Above: 20986 Why Bullish Above:If Nasdaq 100 futures surpass 20986, the price would trade above today’s VWAP, the developing

The EURGBP has seen a run higher despite a sharp rise in the UK 10 year yield which saw the yield move to the highest level since 2008. The yield reached 4.821% today rising above the 2023 high of 4.755% in the process. The yield is currently at 4.813%. Although higher yield can be supportive

Major US indices are closing solidly higher and in doing so are snapping multi-day losing streaks. For the Dow Industrial average it snapped its 4-day losing streak. For the broader S&P and NASDAQ indices,. they both snapped 5-day losing streaks. For the trading week, the indices are closing lower. A snapshot of the closing levels

The GBPUSD moved higher into the US open, but has since reversed lower on risk-off flows (?). Stock in the US are getting hammered in pre-market trading. Admittedly, the declines are not being pushed by any news, except Friday was soft and today, the selling is continuing. Looking at the GBPUSD, the price moved up

The USDJPY moved lower in the US session but after getting within 11 pips of the rising 100 hour MA. THe price has since bounced back to 157.84 currently as the buyers remain in firm control. THe last time the price tested the 100 hour MA was back on December 17 adn Deceember 18 before

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not