Technical Analysis

The USD/CAD is currently locked in a tug-of-war as technical support meets a sharp fundamental shift in energy markets. While broad US Dollar strength provided an early lift, the pair has encountered a significant “ceiling” that remains unbroken. The Fundamental Context: Oil vs. Greenback The primary catalyst for the recent reversal is a 7.3% surge
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Having started the week and month with a sharp drop at the open, markets enter a new phase of high volatility in which traditional risk-off flows collide with uncertainty about monetary policy and corporate outlooks. Geopolitical risk dominates, and the coming days may be critical: escalation could lead to a deeper correction, as we suggested
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The GBPUSD dipped below its 200-hour moving average during the European session but rebounded into the US morning. That recovery, however, ran out of steam ahead of the session highs. When price rolled back below the 200-hour MA (1.3521) and then the 100-hour MA (1.35125), sellers reasserted control and downside momentum accelerated. The pair extended
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*) see also: InstaForex trading indicators for USD/CHF The USD/CHF pair is attempting a corrective rally and, ahead of Thursday’s session, is testing the 0.7745–0.7755 area while remaining in a broader bear market. However, the move is unstable as the market balances dollar support against demand for defensive assets, including the Swiss franc. The main
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The 4-hour chart wave count for EUR/USD is not ideal but clear enough. There is no indication that the uptrend that began in January last year has been canceled; only the internal wave structure is occasionally adjusted. In my view, the pair has completed the construction of the global wave 4 (see lower chart). If
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USDX: The FOMC minutes and Friday’s PCE data will decide whether the dollar can hold support and start a recovery toward 99.10, or whether a break of 96.90 will open the way to a new phase of weakness. The US dollar shows restrained gains in the first half of today’s session. The dollar index (USDX),
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The dollar remains under pressure ahead of key US macroeconomic data. At the same time, the US dollar retains its attractiveness versus cryptocurrencies, partly because the Federal Reserve is expected to keep the status quo on monetary policy. The prior FOMC meeting left the policy rate in the 3.50–3.75% range, citing resilient economic growth and
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The Japanese yen is struggling to capitalize on its modest intraday gains against a broadly weaker US dollar. Investors remain concerned about Japan’s fiscal sustainability amid expansionary fiscal initiatives by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Moreover, political instability ahead of the snap election on February 8 discourages traders from taking aggressive bullish positions on the yen.
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Federal Reserve: Economic outlook and current situation. As expected, the US central bank left its policy rate unchanged at the January meeting. Therefore, market attention focused on Jerome Powell’s press conference. What did markets hear? The Fed chair said the US economy continued to grow at a steady pace in 2025, stressing that its fundamentals
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Despite a certain easing of geopolitical tensions after D. Trump’s speech at the Davos forum, as they say, a residue remains. Yes, the U.S. president stated that he would not occupy Greenland, but at the same time made it clear that this island, which belongs to Denmark, would still fall into a vassal dependency on
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