The USD/CAD is currently locked in a tug-of-war as technical support meets a sharp fundamental shift in energy markets. While broad US Dollar strength provided an early lift, the pair has encountered a significant “ceiling” that remains unbroken. The Fundamental Context: Oil vs. Greenback The primary catalyst for the recent reversal is a 7.3% surge
Technical Analysis
Having started the week and month with a sharp drop at the open, markets enter a new phase of high volatility in which traditional risk-off flows collide with uncertainty about monetary policy and corporate outlooks. Geopolitical risk dominates, and the coming days may be critical: escalation could lead to a deeper correction, as we suggested
The GBPUSD dipped below its 200-hour moving average during the European session but rebounded into the US morning. That recovery, however, ran out of steam ahead of the session highs. When price rolled back below the 200-hour MA (1.3521) and then the 100-hour MA (1.35125), sellers reasserted control and downside momentum accelerated. The pair extended
*) see also: InstaForex trading indicators for USD/CHF The USD/CHF pair is attempting a corrective rally and, ahead of Thursday’s session, is testing the 0.7745–0.7755 area while remaining in a broader bear market. However, the move is unstable as the market balances dollar support against demand for defensive assets, including the Swiss franc. The main
The 4-hour chart wave count for EUR/USD is not ideal but clear enough. There is no indication that the uptrend that began in January last year has been canceled; only the internal wave structure is occasionally adjusted. In my view, the pair has completed the construction of the global wave 4 (see lower chart). If
The NASDAQ index has rebounded in the wake of the Supreme Court decision, pushing to an intraday high of 22,948.87. That rally brought the index to within roughly 13–14 points of the falling 100-hour moving average (currently at 22,961.75) — a level that has attracted early selling interest. Sellers leaned against the moving average on
USDX: The FOMC minutes and Friday’s PCE data will decide whether the dollar can hold support and start a recovery toward 99.10, or whether a break of 96.90 will open the way to a new phase of weakness. The US dollar shows restrained gains in the first half of today’s session. The dollar index (USDX),
The GBPUSD has now made two clear downside runs beginning from yesterday’s session high at 1.3661 — and that sequencing matters. The first leg lower took the pair from 1.3661 down to 1.3550 during the late Asian / early European session. That move had momentum behind it. Sellers were in control, pushing price through intraday
The EUR/USD pair rebounded from bullish imbalance 12 and reversed in favor of the European currency, just as I had warned. Thus, traders received another bullish signal that allowed them to enter long positions. On Wednesday, the situation became somewhat risky for the bulls for several hours as they reacted to the 130,000 jobs created
The dollar remains under pressure ahead of key US macroeconomic data. At the same time, the US dollar retains its attractiveness versus cryptocurrencies, partly because the Federal Reserve is expected to keep the status quo on monetary policy. The prior FOMC meeting left the policy rate in the 3.50–3.75% range, citing resilient economic growth and
NASDAQ 100 futures (NQ) are currently rotating near the 25,330–25,350 area, a zone that has acted as the market’s balance point so far today. While price has moved both higher and lower intraday, neither buyers nor sellers have been able to force lasting acceptance outside this range. This makes 25,365 on the upside and 25,310
The Japanese yen is struggling to capitalize on its modest intraday gains against a broadly weaker US dollar. Investors remain concerned about Japan’s fiscal sustainability amid expansionary fiscal initiatives by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Moreover, political instability ahead of the snap election on February 8 discourages traders from taking aggressive bullish positions on the yen.
The start of 2026 brought a powerful wave of volatility to global financial markets. A sharp drop in Bitcoin, a crash in prices of precious metals and crude oil, and a major investment push by Oracle — all occurred against the backdrop of one key event: President Donald Trump’s unexpected nomination of Kevin Warsh as
Federal Reserve: Economic outlook and current situation. As expected, the US central bank left its policy rate unchanged at the January meeting. Therefore, market attention focused on Jerome Powell’s press conference. What did markets hear? The Fed chair said the US economy continued to grow at a steady pace in 2025, stressing that its fundamentals
S&P 500 Technical Analysis Today Order Flow Highlights the Key Levels Buyers and Sellers Are Watching Date: January 28, 2026 Market focus: S&P 500 futures (ES) Framework: orderFlow Intel by investingLive.com Key takeaways for traders and investors on gold futures as a proxy “risk off” or “risk on” guide to the S&P 500 The S&P
Australian markets reopened today after a long weekend with the ASX 200 up 0.9%. Naturally the gains were led by by miners, including Capstone Copper, which was up 7.7%. BNP also jumped 3.1% to pass Commonwealth Bank and become the country’s largest company for the first time since October 2024. I made the case for
S&P 500 Technical Analysis After the Gap Down at This Week’s Open – Why Traders Needed Patience Near Friday’s Close The S&P 500 opened the new trading week on Monday, January 26, 2026, with what looked like a scary gap down. From Friday’s close near 6,933.75, futures briefly dropped to around 6,879, a move of
Despite a certain easing of geopolitical tensions after D. Trump’s speech at the Davos forum, as they say, a residue remains. Yes, the U.S. president stated that he would not occupy Greenland, but at the same time made it clear that this island, which belongs to Denmark, would still fall into a vassal dependency on
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