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Global oil prices have held relatively steady since November last year. Despite several geopolitical factors affecting its fundamentals, it has been congested inside $83-70 per barrel throughout this period. Amid fears of a global supply glut, the G7-led price cap on Russian oil and Moscow’s plan for a drastic production cut had little impact on

Dollar ended as the best performer last week, after data argued that the slow disinflation process could prompt Fed to tightening further to a higher terminal rate. Yet, buying remained rather uncommitted, as show in Friday’s late pull back. Resilient risk sentiment continued to cap the greenback’s upside, and could continue to do so. Elsewhere

The Australian employment market report is due at 11.30 am Sydney time 0030 GMT 1930 US Eastern time Earlier: Snippet preview comments via ANZ: We will be watching the labour market results closely … to confirm that the 15,000 drop in employment in December was a one-off. Our labour market outlook is still very strong

Oil prices dropped for a second day on Wednesday on signs of ample U.S. supplies and expectations of further interest rate hikes, though forecasts of higher 2023 demand growth and a potentially tighter market limited losses. U.S. crude stocks rose by a more than forecast 10.5 million barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum

Dollar might finally be committing to a rally after stronger than expected retail sales data. Consumer markets appeared to remain robust despite persistently high inflation. Talks of a higher terminal rate for Fed is also growing. On the other hand, Sterling was knocked down earlier today after lower than expected CPI reading, in particular against

I’ve been writing about anecdotal reports that US home and auto sales suddenly picked up in the past few weeks. They’re the most interest-rate-sensitive part of the economy so they’ve been hit hard by Fed moves. However with rates ebbing early in the new year, a torrent of pent-up demand emerged. I think it’s telling.

In the wake of a much stronger than expected US job report for the month of February, JOLTs job data for December beating expectations, and stellar US ISM services report for the month of January have suddenly turned around sentiments and views on inflation. Market participants are becoming concerned that notwithstanding economists’ forecasts of upcoming

While the economic calendar was relatively light, the week was full of surprise. The biggest one was the big wagers that put on Fed interest rate peaking at 6%. Rumors and speculations about the next BoJ Governor triggered some volatility. Meanwhile, the blockbuster Canadian job data came in and blew everyone away. Canadian Dollar eventually

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Oil prices rose for a second-straight session on Tuesday, driven by optimism about recovering demand in China and concerns over supply shortages following the shutdown of a major export terminal after an earthquake in Turkey. Brent crude futures were up 98 cents, or 1.2%, to $81.97 a barrel by 10:50 a.m. EST (1551 GMT), while

While Dollar is now the strongest one for the week, buying remains not too committed, except versus the weak Pound. The greenback is indeed mixed, awaiting more guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. Yen is currently the strongest one for today,. Australian Dollar is trailing as the impact of RBA’s hawkish hike is fading

WTI crude oil futures settled at $73.39 today. That was down -$2.49 or -3.28%. The high price reached $78.00 today. The low reached $73.13. The price traded to the lowest level going back to January 23. The low for the year reached $72.46 back on January 5th. The cycle low from December reached $70.08. For

Oil prices rose on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data, but were still set for weekly falls as investors sought more clarity on the imminent EU embargo on Russian refined products and more signs of demand recovery in top consumer China. Brent crude futures gained $1.16, or 1.4%, to $83.33 a barrel by 1456 GMT,

Dollar rebounds strongly and broadly in early US session after a set of stellar job data that blows past expectations. Stock futures dive on renewed concern that interest rate will stay high for lower while benchmark treasury yield rebounds. The question now is whether the greenback could overwhelm Yen and Swiss Franc to end the

PMIs from China are the focus of the data from the session. The manufacturing PMI is expected to have improved from December to show a slower pace of contraction in January. Worker absences due to illness were still an issue. Some calendars also list Chinese Industrial Profit data due at the same time. This snapshot

Oil prices extended losses on Monday as looming increases to interest rates by major central banks and signs of strong Russian exports offset rising Middle East tension over a drone attack in Iran and hopes of higher Chinese demand. Investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, followed

Overall, the forex markets are pretty quiet today. Euro rises broadly despite poorer than expected German GDP. Yet, there is no breakout from familiar range. Swiss Franc is tracking Euro closely, followed by Dollar. Australian Dollar is so far the worst performer, without follow through downside momentum. Yen is following and then Canadian. Sterling and

This is via the folks at eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. For a limited time, get a 7 day free trial, basic for $79 per month and premium at $109 per month. Get it here. Goldman Sachs sees the USD staying offered in the near-term before rebounding later in the year.