The US dollar continues to consolidate above the 97.00 level on the PCE Index, clearly in anticipation of the release of key inflation data expected at the end of this week. We’re talking, of course, about the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report, which will first be released on Thursday in quarterly terms, followed
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Overview Gold managed to push into yet another all-time high today. This bullish momentum has been building since Friday. The market continues to run by inertia as we haven’t got any strong negative catalyst. Nonetheless, the Fed didn’t match the very dovish rate path priced in by the market and that could mean that
Today, Friday, the GBP/JPY pair was actively sold off as the yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting. The release of somewhat positive data on the pound barely slowed the decline. As expected, following its two-day meeting, the Bank of Japan decided to keep the interest rate unchanged in the 0.4%–0.5% range.
As the clock ticks down to the FOMC rate decision at 2 PM ET, the USDJPY is perched right on key moving average support. That support is defined by the 100-day moving average at 146.175, and the pair is currently holding just above it. Buyers have leaned against the dip, perhaps taking profit from the
The GBP/JPY pair remains above the psychological level of 200.00, attempting once again to break through 200.35, which it surpassed on Friday. On Thursday, the Bank of England will publish its monetary policy decision, and it appears the main rate will remain unchanged at 4%. In addition, the regulator is expected to maintain a cautious
Treasury yields are 3-6 basis points higher on the day and that initially gave the US dollar a lift today but it’s fading. The dollar has been under some modest pressure since the softer UMich consumer sentiment data. That’s helped boost the euro to 1.1737 from 1.1712. There are similar 20-30 pip moves elsewhere and
Indices close mixed ahead of inflation data US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 posted gains, while the Dow Jones declined. Investors are awaiting inflation data, which will be released today. If actual figures deviate from forecasts, market volatility may increase further. Follow the link for more details. Optimistic Oracle
The EURUSD is pushing to fresh session highs, with price action stretching toward the next upside targets at 1.1769 (July 28 high) and 1.17874 (July 24 high). Earlier in the U.S. session, the pair briefly slipped back below a swing area between 1.1730 and 1.1741 after testing its upper edge during European trading. However, renewed
Recently, the market saw the launch of the World Liberty Financial project, the creation of which is directly tied to the family of US President Donald Trump. Everything seemed fine, but someone, including Trump himself, is interested in making quick money from this venture. Here’s the story: one of the largest holders of the WLF
Gold Futures Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (September 4, 2025) Gold futures map for today: activation rules at 3,600, bullish above 3,622, bearish below 3,597.8 (after a pop over 3,600). Targets and risk plan inside. Summary (quick map) Instrument: Gold futures (GC) Current price: 3,588.3 (≈–1.3% vs yesterday’s close) Compass rule: No signals until price
September remains weak month for stocks September is traditionally an unfavorable month for US equities, with the S&P 500 historically falling by an average of 2%. Current sell-offs in the bond market are putting pressure on the stock index, despite differing opinions on the reasons behind this behavior. Analysts warn that the index’s resilience in
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves are forming, the structure’s integrity is maintained. This makes accurate forecasting possible. It should be noted that wave patterns do not always look exactly like textbook examples. At the moment, however, the
. The AUDUSD has broken above both the 100- and 200-bar moving averages on the 4-hour chart, after failing yesterday to sustain a move below the 100-day moving average. This shift in momentum has turned the near-term bias more constructive, with buyers taking greater control into the end of the trading day. The break through
On Monday, EUR/USD reversed in favor of the U.S. currency and declined sharply. However, this decline can be overlooked, just like the previous rally. The hourly chart clearly shows that the pair has moved into a new sideways channel. Up and down waves alternate with each other and are almost identical in size. Within such
Nasdaq Futures Technical Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (August 26, 2025) Current price (NQ): 23,437 (≈-0.25% vs. yesterday’s close) Recent context: All-time high on Aug 13 at 24,068.50, a 5-day pullback of -4.32% to 23,035 (near the 23k round number), a 2-day bounce to 23,650 (pivot), and now trading just beneath an important July pivot
Only the Australian dollar could be traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but a major reversal move never materialized. I did not trade through Momentum, as no strong movements were expected in the first half of the day. Germany’s GDP data disappointed, but the euro completely ignored it. Weak economic indicators from the eurozone’s
The price of crude oil futures are settling at $63.52 that’s up $0.81 or 1.29%. The high price for the day reached $63.67. The low price was at $62.52. Looking at the hourly chart, the low price tested the falling 100 hour moving average, and found willing buyers. That gave the buyers the go-ahead to
The British pound, as has become common practice, was traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. However, for other trading instruments, including the yen, I did not see anything of interest. As a result, I did not trade using Momentum. A sharp contraction in the eurozone trade balance led to a decline in the euro.
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