TD outlook on equities in the weeks to come, this via eFX
“We see the market’s wall of worry rising a bit higher in the weeks ahead.
- Inflation surprises sit at cyclical highs against a backdrop of underpriced volatility and a pause in our high-frequency global mobility data.
Plus, there’s a clear division on how market participants think the Fed should (and will) respond to inflation”
- We expect the Fed to lean through the spike,
- though others think they need to get on with tapering and will hike sooner than expected.
These uncertainties reveal a market that’s unlikely to remain complacent for much longer, resulting in another test of the Fed pricing. Geopolitical flareups are also on the rise”